Ignorability for categorical data

We study the problem of ignorability in likelihood-based inference from incomplete categorical data. Two versions of the coarsened at random assumption (car) are distinguished, their compatibility with the parameter distinctness assumption is investigated and several conditions for ignorability that do not require an extra parameter distinctness assumption are established. It is shown that car assumptions have quite different implications depending on whether the underlying complete-data model is saturated or parametric. In the latter case, car assumptions can become inconsistent with observed data.Comment: Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/009053605000000363 in the Annals of Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

Numeric Input Relations for Relational Learning with Applications to Community Structure Analysis

Most work in the area of statistical relational learning (SRL) is focussed on discrete data, even though a few approaches for hybrid SRL models have been proposed that combine numerical and discrete variables. In this paper we distinguish numerical random variables for which a probability distribution is defined by the model from numerical input variables that are only used for conditioning the distribution of discrete response variables. We show how numerical input relations can very easily be used in the Relational Bayesian Network framework, and that existing inference and learning methods need only minor adjustments to be applied in this generalized setting. The resulting framework provides natural relational extensions of classical probabilistic models for categorical data. We demonstrate the usefulness of RBN models with numeric input relations by several examples. In particular, we use the augmented RBN framework to define probabilistic models for multi-relational (social) networks in which the probability of a link between two nodes depends on numeric latent feature vectors associated with the nodes. A generic learning procedure can be used to obtain a maximum-likelihood fit of model parameters and latent feature values for a variety of models that can be expressed in the high-level RBN representation. Specifically, we propose a model that allows us to interpret learned latent feature values as community centrality degrees by which we can identify nodes that are central for one community, that are hubs between communities, or that are isolated nodes. In a multi-relational setting, the model also provides a characterization of how different relations are associated with each community

Inference, Learning, and Population Size: Projectivity for SRL Models

A subtle difference between propositional and relational data is that in many relational models, marginal probabilities depend on the population or domain size. This paper connects the dependence on population size to the classic notion of projectivity from statistical theory: Projectivity implies that relational predictions are robust with respect to changes in domain size. We discuss projectivity for a number of common SRL systems, and identify syntactic fragments that are guaranteed to yield projective models. The syntactic conditions are restrictive, which suggests that projectivity is difficult to achieve in SRL, and care must be taken when working with different domain sizes

Learning and Interpreting Multi-Multi-Instance Learning Networks

We introduce an extension of the multi-instance learning problem where examples are organized as nested bags of instances (e.g., a document could be represented as a bag of sentences, which in turn are bags of words). This framework can be useful in various scenarios, such as text and image classification, but also supervised learning over graphs. As a further advantage, multi-multi instance learning enables a particular way of interpreting predictions and the decision function. Our approach is based on a special neural network layer, called bag-layer, whose units aggregate bags of inputs of arbitrary size. We prove theoretically that the associated class of functions contains all Boolean functions over sets of sets of instances and we provide empirical evidence that functions of this kind can be actually learned on semi-synthetic datasets. We finally present experiments on text classification, on citation graphs, and social graph data, which show that our model obtains competitive results with respect to accuracy when compared to other approaches such as convolutional networks on graphs, while at the same time it supports a general approach to interpret the learnt model, as well as explain individual predictions.Comment: JML

A Complete Characterization of Projectivity for Statistical Relational Models

A generative probabilistic model for relational data consists of a family of probability distributions for relational structures over domains of different sizes. In most existing statistical relational learning (SRL) frameworks, these models are not projective in the sense that the marginal of the distribution for size-$n$ structures on induced sub-structures of size $k<n$ is equal to the given distribution for size-$k$ structures. Projectivity is very beneficial in that it directly enables lifted inference and statistically consistent learning from sub-sampled relational structures. In earlier work some simple fragments of SRL languages have been identified that represent projective models. However, no complete characterization of, and representation framework for projective models has been given. In this paper we fill this gap: exploiting representation theorems for infinite exchangeable arrays we introduce a class of directed graphical latent variable models that precisely correspond to the class of projective relational models. As a by-product we also obtain a characterization for when a given distribution over size-$k$ structures is the statistical frequency distribution of size-$k$ sub-structures in much larger size-$n$ structures. These results shed new light onto the old open problem of how to apply Halpern et al.'s "random worlds approach" for probabilistic inference to general relational signatures.Comment: Extended version (with proof appendix) of paper that is too appear in Proceedings of IJCAI 202